April 2026
AI Predicts Bitcoin
April 2026 Report |
Perplexity dominated April's accuracy leaderboard at 95.3% — well clear of the rest of the field. Gemini remains the most controversial voice — its 2030 base case sits 68% above the AI consensus of $298,194. Bitcoin climbed from $68,231 to $77,154 across the month — a +13.1% move. And the next halving is now just 695 days away (~23 months) — sell pressure keeps tightening as the cycle progresses.
This is a milestone month: 7-day and 30-day accuracy scores both went live for the first time. The longer the horizon, the more meaningful the track record becomes — these are the early data points that will compound into real signal.
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🏆 Model of the Month
Who's leading on accuracy
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📊 Leaderboard
All 10 models ranked
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🎯 AI Consensus
Predictions for 2027–2050
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⛏ Halving Countdown
Days until next halving
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Every day at 06:00 UTC each model gets the same prompt: predict where BTC will be in 7, 30, 90, 180 and 360 days. Once the actual price arrives, we score them. April's winner pulled away from the pack — here's how the leaderboard ended the month.
| 🏆 |
Model of the month
Perplexity
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95.3%
A
|
Accuracy is calculated as 1 − (|predicted − actual| / actual). A score of 95% means the prediction was within ~5% of the real price on the target day. We grade A (95%+), B (85–95%), and C (below 85%). 30/90/180/360-day scores unlock progressively as predictions reach their target dates — first 30-day scores unlock May 1.
7-day Leaderboard
| 🥇 | Perplexity | 95.3% | A |
| 🥈 | Qwen | 89.2% | B |
| 🥉 | ChatGPT | 89.2% | B |
| 4 | DeepSeek | 85.7% | B |
| 5 | Command R | 85.4% | B |
| 6 | Claude | 85.0% | C |
| 7 | Grok | 78.9% | C |
| 8 | Mistral | 62.9% | C |
| 9 | Llama | 59.1% | C |
| 10 | Gemini | 14.5% | C |
30-day Leaderboard
| 🥇 | Qwen | 90.2% | B |
| 🥈 | ChatGPT | 90.2% | B |
| 🥉 | Claude | 87.8% | B |
| 4 | Llama | 86.5% | B |
| 5 | Perplexity | 71.2% | C |
| 6 | Grok | 70.8% | C |
| 7 | Gemini | 45.0% | C |
| 8 | DeepSeek | 38.5% | C |
| 9 | Mistral | 38.5% | C |
Each model gives a low / base / high case for every year from 2027 to 2100. The "consensus" below is the trimmed mean of the base cases — we drop the top and bottom predictions and average the rest, which keeps a single outlier (looking at you, Gemini) from skewing the picture. The most bullish and most conservative columns show the widest views in the room.
| Year | Consensus | Most Bullish | Most Conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $142,500 | Perplexity · $250,000 | Mistral · $100,000 |
| 2030 | $298,194 | Gemini · $500,000 | Claude · $180,000 |
| 2035 | $593,750 | Grok · $1.50M | Claude · $340,000 |
| 2040 | $1.09M | Grok · $6.32M | Claude · $550,000 |
| 2050 | $2.41M | Grok · $112.29M | Mistral · $160,000 |
Roughly every four years, the Bitcoin block reward halves — cutting new BTC supply in half overnight. The last halving was April 2024, dropping the reward to 3.125 BTC per block. Historically, the year following a halving has produced major bull runs as supply tightens. The next one is estimated for March 2028.
|
Month Start
$68,231
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Month End
$77,154
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Month Change
+13.1%
|
| Model · Year | From | To | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grok · 2050 | $12.42M | $112.29M | ▲ 804.0% |
| Mistral · 2040 | $250,000 | $1.50M | ▲ 500.0% |
| Perplexity · 2050 | $1.70M | $8.00M | ▲ 370.6% |
| Perplexity · 2027 | $89,265 | $250,000 | ▲ 180.1% |
| Mistral · 2050 | $60,000 | $160,000 | ▲ 166.7% |
| Perplexity · 2040 | $850,000 | $2.00M | ▲ 135.3% |
| Mistral · 2035 | $350,000 | $15,000 | ▼ 95.7% |
| Claude · 2050 | $11.50M | $1.05M | ▼ 90.9% |
| Year | Consensus | Multiple from today |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $142,500 | 1.8x |
| 2030 | $298,194 | 3.9x |
| 2035 | $593,750 | 7.7x |
| 2040 | $1.09M | 14.1x |
| 2050 | $2.41M | 31.2x |
| Model | Variance | Unique values |
|---|---|---|
| Qwen | 0.0% Stable | 1 / 29 days |
| Command R | 3.0% Stable | 2 / 31 days |
| Grok | 11.2% Moderate | 14 / 31 days |
| DeepSeek | 12.9% Moderate | 6 / 31 days |
| Perplexity | 13.5% Moderate | 4 / 28 days |
| Llama | 16.2% Moderate | 7 / 20 days |
| Claude | 24.1% Volatile | 10 / 31 days |
| ChatGPT | 26.5% Volatile | 7 / 31 days |
| Gemini | 26.8% Volatile | 9 / 31 days |
| Mistral | 36.6% Volatile | 14 / 30 days |
Latest predictions as of 2026-05-01 — graded automatically on target date
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Gemini
$180,000
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Mistral
$120,000
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Grok
$100,000
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Qwen
$85,000
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DeepSeek
$85,000
|
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
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Perplexity
$76,483
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Claude
$67,000
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Command R
$65,000
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Llama
$42,000
|
|
Gemini
$125,000
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Mistral
$120,000
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DeepSeek
$95,000
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Qwen
$85,000
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Grok
$85,000
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Command R
$85,000
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ChatGPT
$85,000
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Perplexity
$82,000
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Claude
$72,000
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Llama
$42,000
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Gemini
$130,000
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Qwen
$85,000
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Grok
$85,000
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DeepSeek
$85,000
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Command R
$85,000
|
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
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Mistral
$82,000
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Perplexity
$75,000
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Llama
$62,000
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Claude
$62,000
|
|
Mistral
$125,000
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Gemini
$125,000
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DeepSeek
$125,000
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Llama
$120,000
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Grok
$90,000
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Qwen
$85,000
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Command R
$85,000
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ChatGPT
$85,000
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Perplexity
$82,768
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Claude
$72,000
|
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Mistral
$125,000
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DeepSeek
$125,000
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Qwen
$120,000
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Llama
$120,000
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Grok
$120,000
|
|
Gemini
$95,000
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Claude
$95,000
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Perplexity
$85,281
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Command R
$85,000
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ChatGPT
$85,000
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