June 2026
AI Predicts Bitcoin
June 2026 Report |
Perplexity dominated April's accuracy leaderboard at 89.3% — well clear of the rest of the field. Qwen remains the most controversial voice — its 2030 base case sits 65% above the AI consensus of $181,831. Bitcoin fell from $73,593 to $58,820 across the month — a -20.1% move. And the next halving is now just 634 days away (~21 months) — sell pressure keeps tightening as the cycle progresses.
This is a first: 90-day accuracy scores just unlocked 1 days ago. Each model now has 2 graded predictions in this bracket — early data, but the longer-horizon leaderboard has begun.
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🏆 Model of the Month
Who's leading on accuracy
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📊 Leaderboard
All 10 models ranked
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🎯 AI Consensus
Predictions for 2027–2050
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⛏ Halving Countdown
Days until next halving
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Every day at 06:00 UTC each model gets the same prompt: predict where BTC will be in 7, 30, 90, 180 and 360 days. Once the actual price arrives, we score them. April's winner pulled away from the pack — here's how the leaderboard ended the month.
| 🏆 |
Model of the month
Perplexity
|
89.3%
B
|
Accuracy is calculated as 1 − (|predicted − actual| / actual). A score of 95% means the prediction was within ~5% of the real price on the target day. We grade A (95%+), B (85–95%), and C (below 85%). 30/90/180/360-day scores unlock progressively as predictions reach their target dates — first 30-day scores unlock May 1.
7-day Leaderboard
| 🥇 | Perplexity | 89.3% | B |
| 🥈 | Claude | 89.0% | B |
| 🥉 | Command R | 88.1% | B |
| 4 | ChatGPT | 81.2% | C |
| 5 | Qwen | 81.2% | C |
| 6 | DeepSeek | 77.9% | C |
| 7 | Mistral | 60.8% | C |
| 8 | Llama | 60.2% | C |
| 9 | Grok | 48.7% | C |
| 10 | Gemini | 0.2% | C |
30-day Leaderboard
| 🥇 | Claude | 90.2% | B |
| 🥈 | Perplexity | 78.3% | C |
| 🥉 | ChatGPT | 78.2% | C |
| 4 | Qwen | 78.2% | C |
| 5 | Command R | 78.2% | C |
| 6 | Llama | 71.2% | C |
| 7 | DeepSeek | 58.5% | C |
| 8 | Grok | 41.8% | C |
| 9 | Mistral | 33.3% | C |
| 10 | Gemini | -3.9% | C |
90-day Leaderboard
| 🥇 | Llama | 95.0% | A |
| 🥈 | Claude | 86.5% | B |
| 🥉 | Command R | 56.0% | C |
| 4 | Qwen | 56.0% | C |
| 5 | ChatGPT | 56.0% | C |
| 6 | Perplexity | 29.0% | C |
| 7 | Grok | 22.3% | C |
| 8 | Gemini | 9.6% | C |
| 9 | Mistral | -7.5% | C |
| 10 | DeepSeek | -11.7% | C |
Each model gives a low / base / high case for every year from 2027 to 2100. The "consensus" below is the trimmed mean of the base cases — we drop the top and bottom predictions and average the rest, which keeps a single outlier (looking at you, Gemini) from skewing the picture. The most bullish and most conservative columns show the widest views in the room.
| Year | Consensus | Most Bullish | Most Conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $125,625 | ChatGPT · $150,000 | Llama · $80,000 |
| 2030 | $181,831 | Qwen · $300,000 | Mistral · $65,000 |
| 2035 | $337,692 | Gemini · $600,000 | Mistral · $40,000 |
| 2040 | $594,730 | Gemini · $1.30M | Mistral · $22,000 |
| 2050 | $1.43M | Claude · $5.40M | ChatGPT · $5,000 |
Roughly every four years, the Bitcoin block reward halves — cutting new BTC supply in half overnight. The last halving was April 2024, dropping the reward to 3.125 BTC per block. Historically, the year following a halving has produced major bull runs as supply tightens. The next one is estimated for March 2028.
|
Month Start
$73,593
|
Month End
$58,820
|
Month Change
-20.1%
|
| Model · Year | From | To | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen · 2050 | $2.20M | $5.00M | ▲ 127.3% |
| ChatGPT · 2050 | $4.00M | $3,000 | ▼ 99.9% |
| ChatGPT · 2040 | $1.20M | $40,000 | ▼ 96.7% |
| Perplexity · 2040 | $450,000 | $850,000 | ▲ 88.9% |
| ChatGPT · 2035 | $600,000 | $90,000 | ▼ 85.0% |
| DeepSeek · 2035 | $380,000 | $700,000 | ▲ 84.2% |
| Gemini · 2050 | $15.00M | $3.80M | ▼ 74.7% |
| Claude · 2035 | $370,000 | $620,000 | ▲ 67.6% |
| Year | Consensus | Multiple from today |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $125,625 | 2.1x |
| 2030 | $181,831 | 3.1x |
| 2035 | $337,692 | 5.7x |
| 2040 | $594,730 | 10.1x |
| 2050 | $1.43M | 24.3x |
| Model | Variance | Unique values |
|---|---|---|
| Qwen | 0.0% Stable | 1 / 89 days |
| Command R | 1.9% Stable | 2 / 92 days |
| DeepSeek | 12.6% Moderate | 8 / 92 days |
| Grok | 19.7% Moderate | 35 / 92 days |
| Llama | 21.3% Volatile | 11 / 81 days |
| Claude | 26.2% Volatile | 18 / 92 days |
| ChatGPT | 28.5% Volatile | 11 / 92 days |
| Gemini | 30.5% Volatile | 16 / 90 days |
| Mistral | 37.8% Volatile | 24 / 90 days |
| Perplexity | 43.1% Volatile | 29 / 89 days |
Latest predictions as of 2026-07-01 — graded automatically on target date
|
Gemini
$160,000
|
Grok
$108,500
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Mistral
$95,000
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
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Qwen
$85,000
|
|
DeepSeek
$72,000
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Perplexity
$68,153
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Claude
$62,000
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Llama
$42,000
|
|
Gemini
$170,000
|
Grok
$125,000
|
Mistral
$110,000
|
Perplexity
$91,000
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
|
|
Command R
$85,000
|
DeepSeek
$85,000
|
Qwen
$85,000
|
Claude
$62,000
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Llama
$62,000
|
|
Grok
$145,000
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Mistral
$125,000
|
Gemini
$110,000
|
DeepSeek
$92,000
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
|
|
Command R
$85,000
|
Qwen
$85,000
|
Perplexity
$82,000
|
Claude
$62,000
|
Llama
$62,000
|
|
Grok
$125,000
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Mistral
$125,000
|
DeepSeek
$120,000
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Llama
$120,000
|
Gemini
$105,000
|
|
Perplexity
$98,000
|
Claude
$95,000
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
|
Command R
$85,000
|
Qwen
$85,000
|
|
DeepSeek
$150,000
|
Grok
$145,000
|
Llama
$120,000
|
Mistral
$115,000
|
Gemini
$90,000
|
|
ChatGPT
$85,000
|
Command R
$85,000
|
Qwen
$85,000
|
Perplexity
$82,000
|
Claude
$72,000
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